DRVs

Includes hypothesis testingIncludes sampling

Edexcel

AQA

OCR A

OCR MEI

June 2025 Paper 3 Q6

EdexcelCurrent spec11 marksDRVs

6. The discrete random variable \(R\) takes even integer values from 2 to \(2n\) inclusive.

The probability distribution of \(R\) is given by

\[\mathrm{P}(R = r) = \frac{r}{k} \qquad r = 2, 4, 6, \ldots, 2n\]

where \(k\) is a constant.

(a) Show that \(k = n(n + 1)\) (4)

When \(n = 20\)

(b) find the exact value of \(\mathrm{P}(16 \leqslant R < 26)\) (2)

When \(n = 20\), a random value \(g\) of \(R\) is taken and the quadratic equation in \(x\)

\[x^2 + gx + 3g = 5\]

is formed.

(c) Find the exact probability that the equation has no real roots. (5)

June 2023 Paper 3 Q15

AQACurrent spec11 marksIncludes samplingData ProcessingDRVsLarge Data Set

15

(a) A random sample of eight cars was selected from the Large Data Set.

The masses of these cars, in kilograms, were as follows.

950989124714151506168018332040

It is given that, for the population of cars in the Large Data Set:

\[\begin{aligned}\text{lower quartile} &= 1167 \\ \text{median} &= 1393 \\ \text{upper quartile} &= 1570\end{aligned}\]
(i) It was decided to remove any of the masses which fall outside the following interval.\[\text{median} - 1.5 \times \text{interquartile range} \leqslant \text{mass} \leqslant \text{median} + 1.5 \times \text{interquartile range}\]

Show that only one of the eight masses in the sample should be removed. [3 marks]

(ii) Write down the statistical name for the mass that should be removed in part (a)(i). [1 mark]
(b) The table shows the probability distribution of the number of previous owners, \(N\), for a sample of cars taken from the Large Data Set.
\(n\)0123456 or more
\(\mathrm{P}(N = n)\)0.140.37\(0.9k\)0.25\(0.4k\)\(1.7k\)0

Find the value of \(\mathrm{P}(1 \leqslant N \lt 5)\) [4 marks]

(c) An expert team is investigating whether there have been any changes in CO2 emissions from all cars taken from the Large Data Set.

The team decided to collect a quota sample of 200 cars to reflect the different years and the different makes of cars in the Large Data Set.

(i) Using your knowledge of the Large Data Set, explain how the team can collect this sample. [2 marks]
(ii) Describe one disadvantage of quota sampling. [1 mark]

June 2025 Paper 2 Q15

OCR ACurrent spec4 marksDRVsProbability

15 The probability distribution of the random variable \(X\) is modelled as follows.

  • \(\mathrm{P}(X = 1) = p\) where \(p\) is a constant.
  • \(\mathrm{P}(X = x) = 2\mathrm{P}(X = x - 1)\) for \(x = 2, 3, 4\).
  • \(\mathrm{P}(X = x) = 0\) for all other values of \(x\).

Three values, \(X_1\), \(X_2\) and \(X_3\), of \(X\) are chosen at random.

Determine \(\mathrm{P}(X_3 \gt X_1 + X_2)\). [4]

June 2024 Paper 2 Q14

OCR ACurrent spec8 marksDRVsProbability

14 For a certain value of the constant \(p\), the random variable \(X\) has the probability distribution given in the table.

\(x\)1234
\(\mathrm{P}(X = x)\)\(p\)\(\frac{1}{6}p\)\(p^2\)\(\frac{1}{2}\)

Two independent values, \(X_1\) and \(X_2\), of \(X\) are found.

Determine \(\mathrm{P}(X_2 = 2X_1 \mid X_2 \gt X_1)\). [8]

October 2021 Paper 2 Q14

OCR ACurrent spec11 marksDRVsProbability

14 The probability distribution of a random variable \(X\) is modelled as follows.

\[\mathrm{P}(X = x) = \begin{cases} \dfrac{k}{x} & x = 1, 2, 3, 4, \\ 0 & \text{otherwise,} \end{cases}\]

where \(k\) is a constant.

(a) Show that \(k = \dfrac{12}{25}\). [2]
(b) Show in a table the values of \(X\) and their probabilities. [1]
(c) The values of three independent observations of \(X\) are denoted by \(X_1\), \(X_2\) and \(X_3\).
Find \(\mathrm{P}(X_1 \gt X_2 + X_3)\). [3]

In a game, a player notes the values of successive independent observations of \(X\) and keeps a running total. The aim of the game is to reach a total of exactly 7.

(d) Determine the probability that a total of exactly 7 is first reached on the 5th observation. [5]

June 2024 Paper 2 Q6

OCR MEICurrent spec5 marksDRVs

6 The probability distribution of the discrete random variable \(X\) is shown in the table.

\(x\)0123
\(\mathrm{P}(X = x)\)0.2\(a\)\(3a\)0.4
(a) Calculate the value of the constant \(a\). [1]
(b) A single value of \(X\) is chosen at random.
Find the probability that the value is an odd number. [1]
(c) Two independent values of \(X\) are chosen at random.
Calculate the probability that the total of the two values is 3. [3]

June 2023 Paper 2 Q4

OCR MEICurrent spec5 marksBinomial DistributionDRVs

4 A biased octagonal dice has faces numbered from 1 to 8. The discrete random variable \(X\) is the score obtained when the dice is rolled once. The probability distribution of \(X\) is shown in the table below.

\(x\)12345678
\(\mathrm{P}(X = x)\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(3p\)
(a) Determine the value of \(p\). [2]
(b) Find the probability that a score of at least 4 is obtained when the dice is rolled once. [1]

The dice is rolled 30 times.

(c) Determine the probability that a score of 8 occurs exactly twice. [2]

June 2022 Paper 2 Q11

OCR MEICurrent spec10 marksBinomial DistributionDRVs

11 A die in the form of a dodecahedron has its faces numbered from 1 to 12. The die is biased so that the probability that a score of 12 is achieved is different from any other score. The probability distribution of \(X\), the score on the die, is given in the table in terms of \(p\) and \(k\), where \(0 \lt p \lt 1\) and \(k\) is a positive integer.

\(x\)123456789101112
\(\mathrm{P}(X = x)\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(p\)\(kp\)

Sam rolls the die 30 times, Leo rolls the die 60 times and Nina rolls the die 120 times. They each plot their scores on bar line graphs.

(a) Explain whose graph is most likely to give the best representation of the theoretical probability distribution for the score on the die. [1]
(b) Find \(p\) in terms of \(k\). [2]
(c) Determine, in terms of \(k\), the expected number of times Nina rolls a 12. [3]
(d) Given that Nina rolls a 12 on 32 occasions, calculate an estimate of the value of \(k\). [2]

Nina rolls the die a further 30 times.

(e) Use your answer to part (d) to calculate an estimate for the probability that she obtains a 12 exactly 8 times in these 30 rolls. [2]

October 2021 Paper 2 Q15

OCR MEICurrent spec11 marksDRVs

15

(a) Show that \(\displaystyle\sum_{r=1}^{\infty} 0.99^{r-1} \times 0.01 = 1\). [3]

Kofi is a very good table tennis player. Layla is determined to beat him.

Every week they play one match of table tennis against each other. They will stop playing when Layla wins the match for the first time.

\(X\) is the discrete random variable “the number of matches they play in total”.

Kofi models the situation using the probability function

\(\mathrm{P}(X = r) = 0.99^{r-1} \times 0.01 \qquad r = 1, 2, 3, 4, \ldots\)

Kofi states that he is 95% certain that Layla will not beat him within 6 years.

(b) Determine whether Kofi’s statement is consistent with his model. [3]

In between matches, Layla practises, but Kofi does not.

(c) Explain why Layla might disagree with Kofi’s model. [1]

Layla models the situation using the probability function

\(\mathrm{P}(X = r) = kr^2 \qquad r = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8.\)

(d) Explain how Layla’s model takes into account the fact that she practises between matches, but Kofi’s does not. [1]

Layla states that she is 95% certain that she will beat Kofi within the first 6 matches.

(e) Determine whether Layla’s statement is consistent with her model. [3]

October 2020 Paper 2 Q12

OCR MEICurrent spec15 marksIncludes hypothesis testingBinomial DistributionDRVs

12 In this question you must show detailed reasoning.

A 5-sided spinner can give scores of 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5. After observing a large number of spins, Elaine models the probability distribution of \(X\), the score on the spinner, as shown in Fig. 12.

\(x\)12345
\(\mathrm{P}(X = x)\)0.20.3\(p\)\(p\)\(q\)

Fig. 12

When the spinner is spun twice, the probability of obtaining a total score of 9 is 0.06.

(a) Given that \(q < 2p\), determine the values of \(p\) and \(q\). [6]
(b) The spinner is spun 10 times. Calculate the probability that exactly one 5 is obtained. [2]

Elaine’s teacher believes that the probability that the spinner shows a 1 is greater than 0.2. The spinner is spun 100 times and gives a score of 1 on 28 occasions.

(c) Conduct a hypothesis test at the 5% level to determine whether there is any evidence to suggest that the probability of obtaining a score of 1 is greater than 0.2. [7]