June 2023 Paper 2 Q9
9 The pre-release material contains information concerning the median income of taxpayers in different areas of London. Some of the data for Camden is shown in the table below. The years quoted in this question refer to the end of the financial years used in the pre-release material. For example, the year 2004 in the table refers to the year 2003/04 in the pre-release material.
| Year | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Income in £ | 21 300 | 23 200 | 24 200 | 25 900 | 26 900 | #N/A | 28 400 | 29 400 |
A time series for the data is shown below.

The LINEST function on a spreadsheet is used to formulate the following model for the data:
\(I = 1115Y - 2\,212\,950\), where \(I =\) median income of taxpayers in £ and \(Y =\) year.
The median income of taxpayers in Croydon in 2009 is also not available.
| Scheme | Marks | AO |
|---|---|---|
| eg sample, since only some data used oe eg sample, since data for 2009 not used oe | B1 | 2.2a |
| [1] |
Notes
B1: sample, since not all data used; ignore further reasoning unless contradictory
| Scheme | Marks | AO |
|---|---|---|
| £27 085 or £27 100 or £27 000 | B1 | 3.4 |
| [1] |
| Scheme | Marks | AO |
|---|---|---|
| it’s interpolation oe eg because we use 2009 oe which is between 2008 and 2010 | B1 | 2.2a |
| eg a straight line model appears to be justified eg relationship seems to be linear eg median income seems to be directly proportional to time eg positive correlation [between median income and year] | B1 | 2.2b |
| [2] |
Notes
B1: do not allow
eg 27085 lies between 2008 and 2010
eg 27085 lies between the values for 2008 and 2010
B1: do not allow
eg positive association
eg positive relationship
| Scheme | Marks | AO |
|---|---|---|
| not reasonable oe since eg (median taxable) income varies considerably across different regions of London eg (median) income different in Croydon and Camden eg (median) income lower in Croydon (than Camden) eg pattern of change in income over time different in Camden to Croydon | B1 | 2.4 |
| [1] |
Notes
B1: LDS advantage