S1 June 2006 Q3
3. A metallurgist measured the length, \(l\) mm, of a copper rod at various temperatures, \(t\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\), and recorded the following results.
| \(t\) | \(l\) |
|---|---|
| 20.4 | 2461.12 |
| 27.3 | 2461.41 |
| 32.1 | 2461.73 |
| 39.0 | 2461.88 |
| 42.9 | 2462.03 |
| 49.7 | 2462.37 |
| 58.3 | 2462.69 |
| 67.4 | 2463.05 |
The results were then coded such that \(x = t\) and \(y = l - 2460.00\).
(a) Calculate \(S_{xy}\) and \(S_{xx}\).
(You may use \(\Sigma x^2 = 15965.01\) and \(\Sigma xy = 757.467\)) (5)
(You may use \(\Sigma x^2 = 15965.01\) and \(\Sigma xy = 757.467\)) (5)
(b) Find the equation of the regression line of \(y\) on \(x\) in the form \(y = a + bx\). (5)
(c) Estimate the length of the rod at \(40\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\). (3)
(d) Find the equation of the regression line of \(l\) on \(t\). (2)
(e) Estimate the length of the rod at \(90\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\). (1)
(f) Comment on the reliability of your estimate in part (e). (2)
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| \(\sum x = \sum t = 337.1, \quad \sum y = 16.28\) | B1,B1 |
| \(S_{xy} = 757.467 - \dfrac{337.1 \times 16.28}{8} = 71.4685\) | M1A1 |
| \(S_{xx} = 15965.01 - \dfrac{337.1^2}{8} = 1760.45875\) | A1 |
| (5) |
Notes
B1,B1 Can be implied
M1A1 either method, awrt 71.5
A1 awrt 1760
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| \(b = \dfrac{71.4685}{1760.45875} = 0.04059652\) | M1A1 |
| \(a = \dfrac{16.28}{8} - b \times \dfrac{337.1}{8} = 0.324364\) | M1A1 |
| \(y = 0.324 + 0.0406x\) | A1ft |
| (5) |
Notes
M1A1 / correct way up, awrt 0.0406
M1A1 using correct formula, awrt 0.324
A1ft 3 sf or better but award for copying from above
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| At \(t = 40\), \(x = 40\), \(y = 1.948\), \(l = 2461.948\) | M1A1A1ft |
| (3) |
Notes
sub \(x = 40\), awrt 1.95, awrt 2461.95
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| \(l - 2460 = 0.324 + 0.0406t\) | M1 |
| \(l = 2460.324 + 0.0406t\) | A1 |
| (2) |
Notes
M1 LHS required
A1 awrt 2460.32, f.t. their 0.0406, \(l\) and \(t\)
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| At \(t = 90\), \(l = 2463.978\) | B1 |
| (1) |
Notes
B1 awrt 2464
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| \(90\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\) outside range of data | B1 |
| unlikely to be reliable | B1 |
| (2) | |
| (18 marks) |