19. A bag contains 5 red balls and 4 blue balls. Megan chooses a ball from the bag at random. She replaces the ball in the bag. Then she chooses a second ball from the bag at random.
(a) Complete the tree diagram below. [2]
(b) Find the probability that Megan chooses two balls of the same colour. [3]
Mark scheme (a)
Scheme
Marks
Comments
Complete diagram
B2
Award B1 for any one of the following:
\(\frac{4}{9}\) or equivalent on ‘Blue’ Ball 1 branch
2 out of the 3 correct Ball 2 branches.
Mark scheme (b)
Scheme
Marks
Comments
Sight of \(\frac{5}{9} \times \frac{5}{9}\) (= 0.308(6..)) OR \(\frac{4}{9} \times \frac{4}{9}\) (= 0.197(5..)) or equivalent
B1
Check diagram for answers. 0·55(5…) × 0·55(5…) OR 0·44(4…) × 0·44(4…) Award B1 for an appropriate sight of any one of the following:
\(\frac{25}{81}\) or 0·308(6..) or 0·31 or 0·3
\(\frac{16}{81}\) or 0·197(5..) or 0·2
FT ‘their \(\frac{4}{9}\)’ from Blue Ball 1 branch, only if between 0 and 1. FT ‘their \(\frac{4}{9}\)’ from Blue Ball 2 branch, only if between 0 and 1.
\(\frac{5}{9} \times \frac{5}{9} + \frac{4}{9} \times \frac{4}{9}\) or equivalent
M1
0·55(5…) × 0·55(5…) + 0·44(4…) × 0·44(4…) Award M1 for sight of \(\frac{25}{81} + \frac{16}{81}\). FT ‘their \(\frac{5}{9} \times \frac{5}{9}\)’ + ‘their \(\frac{4}{9} \times \frac{4}{9}\)‘, provided both less than 1.
The addition of both single fractions (or products) can be implied by an appropriate sight of \(\frac{\text{sum of numerators}}{\text{sum of denominators}}\).
\(\frac{41}{81}\) ISW or 0·506(…) or equivalent
A1
CAO for ‘their tree diagram’. Allow answers in the range 0·505 to 0·507 inclusive or equivalent. Allow an answer of 0·51 or equivalent. Only allow 0·5 provided a more accurate answer has been seen (e.g. \(\frac{41}{81}\) , 0·506(…)).
Only FT provided answer is less than 1.
19.(b) Alternative method
Scheme
Marks
Comments
1 – \(\left[\frac{5}{9} \times \frac{4}{9} + \frac{4}{9} \times \frac{5}{9}\right]\) or 1 – \(\left[2 \times \frac{5}{9} \times \frac{4}{9}\right]\) or equivalent
M2
Check diagram for answers. (= 1 – \(\left[\frac{20}{81} + \frac{20}{81}\right] = 1 - \frac{40}{81}\) or equivalent)
FT ‘their \(\frac{4}{9}\)’ from Blue Ball 1 branch, only if between 0 and 1. FT ‘their \(\frac{4}{9}\)’ from Blue Ball 2 branch, only if between 0 and 1.
CAO for ‘their tree diagram’. Allow answers in the range 0·505 to 0·507 inclusive or equivalent. Allow an answer of 0·51 or equivalent. Only allow 0·5 provided a more accurate answer has been seen (e.g. \(\frac{41}{81}\) , 0·506(…)). Only FT provided answer is less than 1.
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