Higher June 2017 Paper 4 Q10
10 On 1st November 2015 there were 4200 trees planted in a wood.
On 1st November 2016, only 3948 of these trees were still alive.
It is assumed that the number of trees still alive is given by
\[N = ar^t\]where \(N\) is the number of trees still alive \(t\) years after 1st November 2015.
(a) Write down the value of \(a\). [1]
(b) Show that \(r\) is 0.94. [2]
(c) Show that on 1st November 2030 the number of trees still alive is predicted to have decreased by over 60% compared with 1st November 2015. [3]
| Answer | Marks | Part marks and guidance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4200 | 1 | ||
| Answer | Marks | Part marks and guidance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| \(3948 = 4200r\) oe | B1 | Can be implied by e.g. second statement | |
| \(3948 \div 4200 = 0.94\) | B1 | ||
| Answer | Marks | Part marks and guidance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| [0].4[0] × 4200 or 1680 | M1 | accept any correct method e.g. M1 for \(4200 \times 0.94^{15}\) or 1660[. …] | Alternatives: M2 for \(0.94^{15}\) = .395[…] A1 for 60.4 to 60.5[…] |
| \(4200 \times ([0].94)^{15}\) or 1660[. …] | M1 | M1 for 1660[. …] ÷ 4200 [×100] implied by .395[…] or 39.5 to 39.6 | |
| 1660[. …] and 1680 oe | A1 | A1 for 60.4 to 60.5[…] or 39.5 to 39.6 with a suitable comment | |