S2 June 2014 (R) Q2
2. A bag contains a large number of counters. Each counter has a single digit number on it and the mean of all the numbers in the bag is the unknown parameter \(\mu\). The number 2 is on 40% of the counters and the number 5 is on 25% of the counters. All the remaining counters have numbers greater than 5 on them.
A random sample of 10 counters is taken from the bag.
The random variable \(T\) represents the number of counters in a random sample of 10 with the number 2 on them.
The counters are selected one by one.
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| (i) \(S\) is a statistic, (ii) \(D\) is not a statistic, (iii) \(F\) is a statistic | B1, B1, B1 |
| (3) |
Notes
B1 for each variable. Accept “yes, no, yes” o.e.
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| \(T \sim \mathrm{B}(10, 0.4)\) | M1A1 |
| (2) |
Notes
M1 for binomial
A1 for \(n = 10\) and \(p = 0.4\)
NB If they give 2 options then unless they select the correct one they gain M0A0
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| \(\mathrm{P}(2^{\prime}\ 2^{\prime}\ 2)\) or \(\mathrm{P}(5\ 5\ 2,\ 5\ {\gt}5\ 2,\ {\gt}5\ {\gt}5\ 2)\) \(= 0.6^2 \times 0.4\) or \(= (0.25)^2(0.4) + 2\times(0.25)(0.35)(0.4) + (0.35)^2(0.4)\) | M1 |
| \(= 0.144\) | A1 |
| (2) | |
| (7 marks) |
Notes
M1 for identifying the correct possibilities \(2^{\prime}\ 2^{\prime}\ 2\) or 5 5 2 and 5 >5 2 and >5 5 2 and >5 >5 2 or a correct probability statement. The possibilities must be in the correct order. Condone \(2\times\) (5 >5 2) or \(2\times\) (>5 5 2). Implied a correct answer.
A1 for 0.144 or exact equivalent e.g. \(\dfrac{18}{125}\)