4MA0 Higher January 2017 Paper 4 Q14
14 There are 52 cards in a pack.
12 cards are picture cards.
40 cards are number cards.
Melina takes at random a card from the pack.
She keeps the card and then takes at random a second card from the remainder of the pack.
(a) Complete the probability tree diagram. (3)

(b) Work out the probability that the two cards Melina takes are both picture cards or both number cards. (3)
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| \(\dfrac{12}{52}, \dfrac{40}{52}, \dfrac{11}{51}, \dfrac{40}{51}, \dfrac{12}{51}, \dfrac{39}{51}\) | B3 |
| (3) |
Notes
B3: B1 for each pair.
Accept equivalent fractions
Eg
\(\dfrac{12}{52} = \dfrac{3}{13}, \dfrac{40}{52} = \dfrac{10}{13}, \dfrac{12}{51} = \dfrac{4}{17}, \dfrac{39}{51} = \dfrac{13}{17}\)
Accept equivalent decimals correct to at least 2dp (0.23, 0.77, 0.22, 0.78, 0.24, 0.76)
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
\(\dfrac{12}{52} \times \dfrac{11}{51}\) or \(\dfrac{132}{2652}\) or \(\dfrac{11}{221}\) or 0.049(773...) or \(\dfrac{40}{52} \times \dfrac{39}{51}\) or \(\dfrac{1560}{2652}\) or \(\dfrac{130}{221}\) or \(\dfrac{10}{17}\) or 0.588(235...) | M1 |
| \(\dfrac{12}{52} \times \dfrac{11}{51} + \dfrac{40}{52} \times \dfrac{39}{51}\) or \(\dfrac{132}{2652} + \dfrac{1560}{2652}\) or \(\dfrac{11}{221} + \dfrac{10}{17}\) oe | M1 |
| \(\dfrac{141}{221}\) | A1 |
| (3) | |
| (6 marks) |
Notes
M1: ft their tree diagram
A1: 0.638(009…) rounded or truncated to at least 3 DP or oe
or M2 for \(1 - \left(\dfrac{12}{52} \times \dfrac{40}{51} + \dfrac{40}{52} \times \dfrac{12}{51}\right)\) (= 1 − 0.361(99…))
Alternative Method - With Replacement
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
\(\dfrac{12}{52} \times \dfrac{12}{52}\) or \(\dfrac{144}{2704}\) or \(\dfrac{9}{169}\) or 0.053(254...) or \(\dfrac{40}{52} \times \dfrac{40}{52}\) or \(\dfrac{1600}{2704}\) or \(\dfrac{100}{169}\) or 0.591(715...) | M1 |
\(\dfrac{12}{52} \times \dfrac{12}{52} + \dfrac{40}{52} \times \dfrac{40}{52}\) or \(\dfrac{144}{2704} + \dfrac{1600}{2704}\) or \(\dfrac{9}{169} + \dfrac{100}{169}\) or \(\dfrac{1744}{2704}\) or \(\dfrac{109}{169}\) or 0.644(970....) oe | M1 |
or M2 for \(1 - \left(\dfrac{12}{52} \times \dfrac{40}{52} + \dfrac{40}{52} \times \dfrac{12}{52}\right)\) (= 1 − 0.355(029…))