C4 January 2012 Q8
8.
A team of conservationists is studying the population of meerkats on a nature reserve. The population is modelled by the differential equation\[\frac{\mathrm{d}P}{\mathrm{d}t} = \frac{1}{15}P(5 - P), \qquad t \geqslant 0\]where \(P\), in thousands, is the population of meerkats and \(t\) is the time measured in years since the study began.
Given that when \(t = 0\), \(P = 1\),
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| \(1 = A(5 - P) + BP\) Can be implied. | M1 |
| \(A = \dfrac{1}{5},\ B = \dfrac{1}{5}\) Either one. | A1 |
| giving \(\dfrac{\frac{1}{5}}{P} + \dfrac{\frac{1}{5}}{(5 - P)}\) See notes. | A1 cao, aef |
| (3) |
Notes
M1: Forming a correct identity. For example, \(1 = A(5 - P) + BP\). Note \(A\) and \(B\) not referred to in question.
A1: Either one of \(A = \dfrac{1}{5}\) or \(B = \dfrac{1}{5}\).
A1: \(\dfrac{\frac{1}{5}}{P} + \dfrac{\frac{1}{5}}{(5 - P)}\) or any equivalent form, eg: \(\dfrac{1}{5P} + \dfrac{1}{25 - 5P}\), etc. Ignore subsequent working.
This answer must be stated in part (a) only.
A1 can also be given for a candidate who finds both \(A = \dfrac{1}{5}\) and \(B = \dfrac{1}{5}\) and \(\dfrac{A}{P} + \dfrac{B}{5 - P}\) is seen in their working.
Candidate can use ‘cover-up’ rule to write down \(\dfrac{\frac{1}{5}}{P} + \dfrac{\frac{1}{5}}{(5 - P)}\), as so gain all three marks.
Candidate cannot gain the marks for part (a) in part (b).
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| \(\displaystyle\int \frac{1}{P(5 - P)}\,\mathrm{d}P = \int \frac{1}{15}\,\mathrm{d}t\) | B1 |
| \(\dfrac{1}{5}\ln P - \dfrac{1}{5}\ln(5 - P) = \dfrac{1}{15}t\ \ (+\,c)\) | M1* A1ft |
| \(\{t = 0, P = 1 \Rightarrow\}\ \ \dfrac{1}{5}\ln 1 - \dfrac{1}{5}\ln(4) = 0 + c \quad \left\{\Rightarrow c = -\dfrac{1}{5}\ln 4\right\}\) | dM1* |
| eg: \(\ \dfrac{1}{5}\ln\left(\dfrac{P}{5 - P}\right) = \dfrac{1}{15}t - \dfrac{1}{5}\ln 4\) Using any of the subtraction (or addition) laws for logarithms CORRECTLY | dM1* |
| \(\ln\left(\dfrac{4P}{5 - P}\right) = \dfrac{1}{3}t\) eg: \(\ \dfrac{4P}{5 - P} = \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t}\) or eg: \(\ \dfrac{5 - P}{4P} = \mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t}\) Eliminate ln’s correctly. | dM1* |
| gives \(\ 4P = 5\mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} - P\mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} \Rightarrow P(4 + \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t}) = 5\mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t}\) \(P = \dfrac{5\mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t}}{(4 + \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t})} \quad \left\{\begin{matrix}(\div\, \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t}) \\ (\div\, \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t})\end{matrix}\right\}\) Make \(P\) the subject. | dM1* |
| \(P = \dfrac{5}{(1 + 4\mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t})}\) or \(P = \dfrac{25}{(5 + 20\mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t})}\) etc. | A1 |
| (8) |
Notes
B1: Separates variables as shown. \(\mathrm{d}P\) and \(\mathrm{d}t\) should be in the correct positions, though this mark can be implied by later working. Ignore the integral signs.
M1*: Both \(\pm\lambda\ln P\) and \(\pm\mu\ln(\pm 5 \pm P)\), where \(\lambda\) and \(\mu\) are constants.
Or \(\pm\lambda\ln mP\) and \(\pm\mu\ln(n(\pm 5 \pm P))\), where \(\lambda\), \(\mu\), \(m\) and \(n\) are constants.
A1ft: Correct follow through integration of both sides from their \(\displaystyle\int \frac{\lambda}{P} + \frac{\mu}{(5 - P)}\,\mathrm{d}P = \int K\,\mathrm{d}t\) with or without \(+\,c\)
dM1*: Use of \(t = 0\) and \(P = 1\) in an integrated equation containing \(c\)
dM1*: Using ANY of the subtraction (or addition) laws for logarithms CORRECTLY.
dM1*: Apply logarithms (or take exponentials) to eliminate ln’s CORRECTLY from their equation.
dM1*: A full ACCEPTABLE method of rearranging to make \(P\) the subject. (See below for examples!)
A1: \(P = \dfrac{5}{(1 + 4\mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t})}\ \{\text{where } a = 5, b = 1, c = 4\}\).
Also allow any “integer” multiples of this expression. For example: \(P = \dfrac{25}{(5 + 20\mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t})}\)
Note: If the first method mark (M1*) is not awarded then the candidate cannot gain any of the six remaining marks for this part of the question.
Note: \(\displaystyle\int \frac{1}{P(5 - P)}\,\mathrm{d}P = \int 15\,\mathrm{d}t \Rightarrow \int \frac{\frac{1}{5}}{P} + \frac{\frac{1}{5}}{(5 - P)}\,\mathrm{d}P = \int 15\,\mathrm{d}t \Rightarrow \ln P - \ln(5 - P) = 15t\) is B0M1A1ft.
dM1* for making P the subject
Note there are three type of manipulations here which are considered acceptable to make \(P\) the subject.
(1) M1 for \(\dfrac{P}{5 - P} = \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} \Rightarrow P = 5\mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} - P\mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} \Rightarrow P(1 + \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t}) = 5\mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} \Rightarrow P = \dfrac{5}{(1 + \mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t})}\)
(2) M1 for \(\dfrac{P}{5 - P} = \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} \Rightarrow \dfrac{5 - P}{P} = \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} \Rightarrow \dfrac{5}{P} - 1 = \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} \Rightarrow \dfrac{5}{P} = \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} + 1 \Rightarrow P = \dfrac{5}{(1 + \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t})}\)
(3) M1 for \(P(5 - P) = 4\mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} \Rightarrow P^2 - 5P = -4\mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} \Rightarrow \left(P - \dfrac{5}{2}\right)^2 - \dfrac{25}{4} = -4\mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t}\) leading to \(P = \ldots\)
Note: The incorrect manipulation of \(\dfrac{P}{5 - P} = \dfrac{P}{5} - 1\) or equivalent is awarded this dM0*.
Note: \((P) - (5 - P) = \mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t} \Rightarrow 2P - 5 = \dfrac{1}{3}t\) leading to \(P = \ldots\) or equivalent is awarded this dM0*
Alternative method for part (b)
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| B1M1*A1: as before for \(\ \dfrac{1}{5}\ln P - \dfrac{1}{5}\ln(5 - P) = \dfrac{1}{15}t\ \ (+\,c)\) | |
| Award 3rd M1 for \(\quad \ln\left(\dfrac{P}{5 - P}\right) = \dfrac{1}{3}t + c\) | |
| Award 4th M1 for \(\quad \dfrac{P}{5 - P} = A\mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t}\) | |
| Award 2nd M1 for \(\quad t = 0, P = 1 \Rightarrow \dfrac{1}{5 - 1} = A\mathrm{e}^0 \quad \left\{\Rightarrow A = \dfrac{1}{4}\right\}\) \(\dfrac{P}{5 - P} = \dfrac{1}{4}\mathrm{e}^{\frac{1}{3}t}\) |
then award the final M1A1 in the same way.
| Scheme | Marks |
|---|---|
| \(1 + 4\mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t} \gt 1 \Rightarrow P \lt 5\). So population cannot exceed 5000. | B1 |
| (1) | |
| (12 marks) |
Notes
B1: \(1 + 4\mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t} \gt 1\) and \(P \lt 5\) and a conclusion relating population (or even \(P\)) or meerkats to 5000.
For \(P = \dfrac{25}{(5 + 20\mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t})}\), B1 can be awarded for \(5 + 20\mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t} \gt 5\) and \(P \lt 5\) and a conclusion relating population (or even \(P\)) or meerkats to 5000.
B1 can only be obtained if candidates have correct values of \(a\) and \(b\) in their \(P = \dfrac{a}{(b + c\mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t})}\).
Award B0 for: As \(t \to \infty\), \(\mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t} \to 0\). So \(P \to \dfrac{5}{(1 + 0)} = 5\), so population cannot exceed 5000,
unless the candidate also proves that \(P = \dfrac{5}{(1 + 4\mathrm{e}^{-\frac{1}{3}t})}\) oe. is an increasing function.
If unsure here, then send to review!