Higher November 2016 Unit 1 Q7
7. Alwyn often drives from Bangor to Cardiff.
He always chooses one of two routes for these journeys.
He either travels through Rhayader or through Hereford.
The probability that he travels through Rhayader is 0·7.
Sometimes he decides to stop for a break during his journey.
His decision is independent of the route he takes.
The probability that he travels through Rhayader and stops for a break is 0·42.
(a) Complete the following tree diagram. [4]

(b) Calculate the probability that Alwyn travels through Hereford but does not stop for a break. [2]
| Scheme | Marks | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| 0·3 on ‘Hereford’ branch. | B1 | |
| 0·7 × P(Yes) = 0·42 | M1 | Allow their notation for P(Yes). |
| P(Yes) = 0·6 | A1 | |
| 0·6, 0·4, 0·6 and 0·4 correctly placed. | A1 | F.T. ‘their P(Yes)’, if between 0 and 1 but not 0·5 |
| Scheme | Marks | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| 0·3 × 0·4 | M1 | F.T. ‘their values’ if both between 0 and 1. |
| = 0·12 | A1 |