A2 June 2022 Q2
2. The discrete random variable \(X\) has probability distribution
| \(x\) | \(-5\) | \(-1\) | 0 | 5 | \(b\) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| \(\mathrm{P}(X = x)\) | 0.3 | 0.25 | 0.1 | 0.15 | 0.2 |
where \(b\) is a constant and \(b \gt 5\)
Given that \(\mathrm{Var}(X) = 34.26\)
| Scheme | Marks | AO |
|---|---|---|
| [\(\mathrm{E}(X) =\)] \(0.2b - 1\) | B1 | 1.1b |
| (1) |
Notes
B1 Correct expression for \(\mathrm{E}(X)\)
| Scheme | Marks | AO |
|---|---|---|
| \(\mathrm{E}(X^2) = 25 \times 0.3 + 1 \times 0.25\,[+ 0 \times 0.1] + 25 \times 0.15 + 0.2b^2\ [= 11.5 + 0.2b^2]\) | M1 | 1.1b |
| \(\text{“}11.5 + 0.2b^2\text{”} - (\text{“}0.2b - 1\text{”})^2\ [= 34.26]\) | M1 | 3.1a |
| \(0.16b^2 + 0.4b - 23.76\ [= 0]\) or \(\tfrac{4}{25}b^2 + \tfrac{2}{5}b - \tfrac{594}{25}\ [= 0]\) | M1 | 1.1b |
| \(b = \underline{11}\) [since \(b \gt 5\)] | A1 | 2.2a |
| (4) |
Notes
1st M1 Correct attempt at \(\mathrm{E}(X^2)\) using \(\sum x^2\mathrm{P}(X = x)\) at least 3 correct non-zero products
Allow \((-5)^2\) etc
2nd M1 Realising that \(\mathrm{Var}(X) = \mathrm{E}(X^2) - [\mathrm{E}(X)]^2\) needs to be used
3rd M1 Reducing their equation to a 3 term quadratic. At least 2 terms correct.
Allow e.g. \(0.16b^2 + 0.4b = 23.76\) Condone missing “=0”
A1 For 11 only (from the correct equation) so \(-13.5\) must be eliminated
Correct answer with no incorrect working seen scores 4/4
| Scheme | Marks | AO | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 A1ft | 2.1 1.1b | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| \(\mathrm{P}(X^2 \lt 2 - 3X) = \mathrm{P}(X = -1) + \mathrm{P}(X = 0)\) | M1 | 2.2a | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| \(= \underline{0.35}\) | A1 | 1.1b | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total 9 |
Notes
1st M1 At least 4 values correct for (\(X^2\) and \(2 - 3X\)) or for (\(X^2 - 2\) and \(-3X\)) or \(X^2 + 3X\) or \(X^2 + 3X - 2\) (o.e.) Allow for solving equation with one sign error
1st A1ft All correct or correct ft with their \(b\) but must have \(b \gt 5\) (accurate to 1 sf)
Allow solving equation to get awrt \(-3.6\) and awrt 0.56 or \(\frac{-3 \pm \sqrt{17}}{2}\) (ft their \(b \gt 5\))
If there are omissions but no errors in the lists of values then if 2nd M1 and 2nd A1 are scored then the 1st M1 and 1st A1 can be given by implication.
2nd M1 For identifying the correct values of \(X\) required i.e. \(X = -1\) and \(X = 0\)
2nd A1 0.35
NB It is possible to score M0A0M1A1 here if their table of values is incorrect
Correct answer with no incorrect working seen scores 4/4
(Allow correct use of their \(b \gt 5\))